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SUMMARY:QUANTUM FINANCE: Path Integrals and Hamiltonians for Option Pricin
 g
DTSTART:20251124T100000Z
DTEND:20251124T120000Z
DTSTAMP:20260706T214451Z
UID:0252d70d-9d49-43f4-86cc-c67b8394bde8
SEQUENCE:2
CREATED:20251121T091017Z
DESCRIPTION:The thesis starts by explaining a practical problem: classic o
 ption models assume constant volatility and can’t explain the &quot\;smi
 le&quot\; seen in real markets. The goal is to use tools from physics to p
 rice options when volatility moves over time\, and to check that the metho
 d works on real data . First\, the text reviews the basics of option prici
 ng: no-arbitrage ideas\, how Black–Scholes is derived\, and why real mar
 kets need a model where volatility itself is random (the Merton–Garman e
 quation). Next\, the thesis rewrites these pricing equations in a physics 
 style. Instead of only solving a differential equation\, it thinks of pric
 es as coming from a &quot\;kernel&quot\; or &quot\;propagator&quot\; that 
 tells how today’s price depends on all possible future paths. This view 
 helps us see clearly how parameters like correlation\, mean reversion\, an
 d volatility-of-volatility shape option prices. Then come the numerical me
 thods. Two approaches are built and compared. One simulates the joint move
 ment of price and volatility step by step (Euler/Milstein). The other uses
  a path-integral trick to integrate out the price path and only simulate t
 he volatility path\, which saves memory while staying accurate. Prices are
  turned into implied volatilities so results can be compared fairly. With 
 market data (SPY options)\, the thesis sets up a calibration: pick model p
 arameters so the model’s implied volatilities match the market’s. To s
 peed this up\, a neural network is trained to act as a fast &quot\;surroga
 te&quot\; for the heavy calculations. It predicts well and makes calibrati
 on much faster. Finally\, the same framework is extended to path-dependent
  products. By adding simple &quot\;potentials\,&quot\; it prices barrier a
 nd Asian options and checks the results against Monte Carlo. The work ends
  with a summary of accuracy\, speed\, and what each parameter does\, plus 
 ideas for future improvements.
LAST-MODIFIED:20251121T091026Z
LOCATION:Sala V1.34 Edifício de Civil
URL:http://df.vps.tecnico.ulisboa.pt/pt/eventos/quantum-finance-path-integ
 rals-and-hamiltonians-for-option-pricing/
X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:<p data-block-key="lsczs">The thesis starts b
 y explaining a practical problem: classic option models assume constant vo
 latility and can’t explain the &quot\;smile&quot\; seen in real markets.
  The goal is to use tools from physics to price options when volatility mo
 ves over time\, and to check that the method works on real data . First\, 
 the text reviews the basics of option pricing: no-arbitrage ideas\, how Bl
 ack–Scholes is derived\, and why real markets need a model where volatil
 ity itself is random (the Merton–Garman equation).<br/><br/> Next\, the 
 thesis rewrites these pricing equations in a physics style. Instead of onl
 y solving a differential equation\, it thinks of prices as coming from a &
 quot\;kernel&quot\; or &quot\;propagator&quot\; that tells how today’s p
 rice depends on all possible future paths. This view helps us see clearly 
 how parameters like correlation\, mean reversion\, and volatility-of-volat
 ility shape option prices. Then come the numerical methods.<br/><br/> Two 
 approaches are built and compared. One simulates the joint movement of pri
 ce and volatility step by step (Euler/Milstein). The other uses a path-int
 egral trick to integrate out the price path and only simulate the volatili
 ty path\, which saves memory while staying accurate. Prices are turned int
 o implied volatilities so results can be compared fairly. With market data
  (SPY options)\, the thesis sets up a calibration: pick model parameters s
 o the model’s implied volatilities match the market’s.<br/><br/><br/> 
 To speed this up\, a neural network is trained to act as a fast &quot\;sur
 rogate&quot\; for the heavy calculations. It predicts well and makes calib
 ration much faster. Finally\, the same framework is extended to path-depen
 dent products. By adding simple &quot\;potentials\,&quot\; it prices barri
 er and Asian options and checks the results against Monte Carlo. The work 
 ends with a summary of accuracy\, speed\, and what each parameter does\, p
 lus ideas for future improvements.</p>
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